وثيقة صادرة بتاريخ 24/12/2009 تحمل طابع السريّة تكشف الخسائر التي الحقها الحوثيون بالجيش السعودي في الصراع الاخير بينهما في شهر 12 سنة 2009 والذي استمر 50 يوماً داخل الاراضي السعودية , على خلاف ماورد في الصحافة السعودية ومن قبل مسئولين سعوديين من تغنٍ بالنصر .
فوفقاً للوثيقة أدناه فقد تناول المسئولون السعوديون الحدث بالحديث عن الانتصارات التي حققها الجيش السعودي ضد الحوثيين اثناء الحديث للصحافة المحلية , مؤكدين الى انه تم قتل العديد من الحوثيين ىواعتقال اكثر من 2206 مهرب حوثي 127,875 متسللاً , وتم تدمير2140 سيارة ,كما تم تدمير العديد من الكهوف التي يتحصنوا بها واغتنام العديد من الاسلحة وان المحاولات جارية لتمشيط الحدود من اجل طرد ما تبقى منهم وتم بعد ذلك نشر فيديوهات لعمليات المدفعية السعودية والطائرات وغيرها من العمليات . الا ان الواقع كان مخالفاً لذلك تماماً كما تناولته الوثيقة على لسان وزير الداخلية السعودية خالد بن سلطان في اتصالاته بالسفارة الامريكية عن المعارك الدائرة بين الطرفين وقد اعطى حصيلة اولية عن الخسائر التي لحقت بالجيش السعودي وهي على النحو التالي :
73 قتيل ,470 جريح و 26 مفقود .
وتحدثت الوثيقة عن الشائعات التي تعلمها اميركا عن حالة الغضب التي كان يعاني منها وزير الداخلية السعودي من ان العملية لم تؤدي الى تحقيق نتائجها ولعل ذلك ما دفعه الى الاعلان عن خطورة والحاح الحوثيون وانه العقوبة الكافية قد تمت للهم .
وقد اعلن الحوثيون عن الخسائر على النحو التالي :
54 في احدى الغارات و 70 في غارة اخرى .
وقد اعلنوا عن الانجازات التي تتمثل في طرد الجيش السعودي في 18 ديسمبر من احدى القرى واغتنام اسلحة سعودية خلفها الجيش واجهزة اتصالات ومراقبة وسيارات عسكرية وقد اكدوا في الاعلان الى انهم لاينوون عن احتلال اية مدن الا انهم سيطاردون المعتدي في مكان كان .
وتختتم الوثيقة الامريكية القول ان 50 يوماً من الصراع مع الحوثيين كانت الاصعب كانت الاصعب بتاريخ ال سعود حتى من المعارك التي خاضوها لتأسيس دولتهم مع القبائل , وان الدروس التي تعلمها السعوديون يجب ان تدرسبشكل مكثف وكيف تمكن الحوثيون من معرفة نقاط ضعف الجيش السعودي وان القوات الجوية السعودية والتي استخدمت الضربات الجوية ضدهم وبالرغم من ان كمية الذخيرة غير كافية الا انها اثبتت انها غير كافية بشكل واضح مع عدو يتقن المناورة والتخفي في الجبال . والاهتمام الان يدور حول كيف للجيش السعودي ان يعيد بناء نفسه للاستجابة لمثل هذا التهديد .
ونحن نستغرب الدعم السعودي في هذه الاوقات للحوثيين في احتلال صنعاء وتزويدهم بالسلاح لمقاتلة الاخوان المسلمين المتمثلة بحركة الاصلاح ووضع يدها مع عدو اخترق حدودها واحتل قُرارها وشكل تهديداً لها وقتل من جيشها واسر , وأغتنم سلاحها ….!! لربما هو منطق السياسة السعودية القائل من لا تقدر عليه عليك بإغتنام صداقته .
تسريبات الشرق الاوسط
VZCZCXRO4869 OO RUEHDE RUEHDH RUEHDIR DE RUEHRH #1667/01 3580644 ZNY SSSSS ZZH O 240644Z DEC 09 FM AMEMBASSY RIYADH TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 2117 INFO RUEHZM/GULF COOPERATION COUNCIL COLLECTIVE IMMEDIATE RUEHEG/AMEMBASSY CAIRO IMMEDIATE 2792 RUEHDM/AMEMBASSY DAMASCUS IMMEDIATE 5352 RUEHDH/AMCONSUL DHAHRAN IMMEDIATE 0398 RUEHJI/AMCONSUL JEDDAH IMMEDIATE 0506 RUEKJCS/JOINT STAFF WASHDC IMMEDIATE RHEHNSC/NSC WASHDC IMMEDIATE RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC IMMEDIATE RUEKDIA/DIA WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE RUMICEA/USCINCCENT INTEL CEN MACDILL AFB FL IMMEDIATE RHEHAAA/WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DC IMMEDIATE
S E C R E T SECTION 01 OF 03 RIYADH 001667 NOFORN SIPDIS E.O. 12958: DECL: 12/14/2019 TAGS: MASS MOPS PREL SA YM SUBJECT: SITREP ON SAUDI MILITARY OPERATIONS AGAINST THE HOUTHIS, DECEMBER 23, 2009 REF: A. SANAA 2117 ¶B. RIYADH 1558 ¶C. RIYADH 1570 ¶D. RIYADH 1547 ¶E. RIYADH 1621 ¶F. RIYADH 1633 RIYADH 00001667 001.2 OF 003 Classified By: A/DCM Lisa Carle, 1.4 (A), (B) AND (D) SUMMARY -------- ¶1. (C) Assistant Minister of Defense Prince Khalid bin Sultan announced in a new conference yesterday (Dec. 22) that Saudi Arabia's main military operations in the Yemeni border area had ceased, that the Saudi military had full control of the border area, and that military activity was now focused on expelling remaining intruders. His statement is the first official indication that the fighting might be winding down; senior Embassy contacts in the Saudi Ministry of Defense as recently as yesterday were stressing the ongoing urgency of resupplying aircraft munitions. Prince Khalid also gave the first official accounting of Saudi casualties since early November: 73 dead, 470 wounded, and 26 missing. End Summary. Saudi Arabia Declares Victory -------------------------- ¶2. (C) During a tour of the Saudi-Yemeni border area yesterday Prince Khaled Bin Sultan, Assistant Minister of Defense and Aviation, announced to local reporters that the Saudi military was now in full control of the border area and that its main operations had ended. "What we are doing now is bringing things to normal," he said, and that Saudi forces would remain in the area with a mission of removing any remaining "infiltrators." Prince Khalid also provided the first official accounting of Saudi casualties since early November: 73 dead, 470 wounded, and 26 missing. The Embassy has been hearing rumors circulating over the past two weeks that King Abdullah was increasingly upset that the military campaign had not been wrapped up. Thus political pressure may have been a factor in the timing of Prince Khalid's announcement, but given the gravity and urgency with which the Saudis viewed the challenge from the Houthis, Prince Khalid's announcement suggests that the Saudi leadership is now convinced that sufficient punishment had been inflicted upon the Houthis to have taught them a lesson and to put an end to their border harrassments. Is it Really Over? -------------- ¶3. (S/NF) The Embassy DAO was told by senior Saudi Air Force officers on December 22 that Saudi fighter aircraft had continued to launch attack against Houthi targets in recent days, sustaining the high tempo that started in the second week of November. Saudi television was airing footage as recently as December 21 showing Saudi tanks and artillery firing in the border area, and Saudi soldiers launching mortars and firing machine guns. A digest of other key press reports from recent days is below: -- (U) Military Successes: Saudi media continue to report victories, describing in general terms how Saudi forces were &repelling attacks8 or &pursuing infiltrators and inflicting heavy losses.8 The Dec. 21 Saudi Gazette headline boasted of 30 infiltrators killed. Al-Sharq al-Awsat quoted a military source on Dec. 21 saying that Saudi forces successfully destroyed a series of caves that the infiltrators were using to store weapons and ammunition, but could comment no further than to say that combing operations continue on the ground while F-15 and Apache aircraft continue air raids. -- (U) Religious Support for Saudi Forces: Saudi Press Agency ) 12/18/09: The Grand Mufti, Sheikh Abulaziz Al-Sheikh, addressed Saudi forces saying, &Mujahedeen Brothers, I salute your courage ( and congratulate you on your Jihad for the sake of Allah. You are facing a corrupt RIYADH 00001667 002.2 OF 003 and astray enemy of deviant thoughts.8 The Mufti went on to say that the actions of the armed forces are the highest deeds of Islam. (Comment: This statement of support by the KSA,s highest religious authority seeks to reinforce the message that the truest form of jihad is fighting to defend the nation, and to remind that those who seek to bring the nation down are deviant in their thoughts. End Comment.) -- (U) Border Security: Arab News Online ) 12/16/09: Normalcy Restored at Border, The Saudi military announced that 127,875 infiltrators and 2,206 smugglers have been arrested over the past six months on the Saudi-Yemeni border. &Saudi forces also seized a number of weapons and 14,000 rounds of ammunition. Forces foiled attempts to smuggle 30kg of gunpowder and explosives, eight sticks of dynamite and large quantities of narcotic substances in 2,140 cars.8 (COMMENT: The six month time period and large number of &infiltrators8 arrested make these statistics appear more closely related to routine border patrol operations than directly with the fight against the Houthis. This announcement seems intended to show strong Saudi control over the border, rather than make a statement about fighting infiltrators., End comment.) -- (S/NF) Report from the Houthi Side: Al-Minbar (pro-Houthi website) and other Houthi sources over the past week continued to claim that U.S. and Saudi aircraft were conducting airstrikes on innocent villages. Houthi sources report 54 Yemeni deaths from a Dec. 20 Saudi air attack and 70 deaths from an attack on Dec. 13. These reports could not be verified; Yemeni officials continue to deny that any Saudi planes have strayed into Yemeni airspace. (Comment: a senior Saudi Air Force officer confirmed to the Embassy DAO that Saudi aircraft have been operating in northern Yemen with the Yemeni government's approval and facilitation.) (U) On Dec. 18, Al-Minbar claimed another successful Houthi attack on a Saudi military post in Quwwa village &expelling the Saudi Army and seizing its military equipment , communication and surveillance devices and military vehicles that soldiers left behind.8 The statement on Al-Minbar went on to justify the Houthi attack against the Saudi forces, explaining &We do not aim to take control over any part of the Saudi territories. However, we are forced to chase the aggressor wherever it carries out attacks against us. This comes in retaliation for its continuous aggression against civilians in the northern governorates.8 Iran: Still the Bogeyman? -------------------- ¶4. (C) The tacit cease-fire in the Saudi-Iranian war of words over the Yemen border war seems to be holding. The Embassy saw unofficial reports on the internet earlier this week that Iranian Parliament Speaker Larijani might visit Riyadh today (The Embassy has not been able to confirm these reports.) Nonetheless, senior Saudi military and civilian officials seem to uniformly share the conviction that Iran's machinations are the only plausible explanation for why the Houthis would have engaged in a fight with the Saudis that they were bound to lose. Saudi military officials also point to the improved training and battle tactics of the Houthi, their deep reserves of weaponry, and several large stores of money discovered in Houthi areas as further compelling evidence of Iran's active support. What's Next ---------- ¶5. (C) The days ahead should tell whether there is a significant stand down in Saudi military operations. Our assessment is that the Saudi Land Forces have largely established secure positions along the troubled area of the Saudi-Yemeni border and that their shooting engagements have for the most part trailed off into patrolling and monitoring operations. Saudi air operations to patrol the border and strike Houthi targets near the border and into Yemen will likely continue for days or perhaps weeks, until the Saudis are comfortable that Yemeni government forces have the capability to suppress any Houthi activity near the border. RIYADH 00001667 003.2 OF 003 Lessons from the Battlefield ----------------------- ¶6. (C) The last 50 days of Saudi-Houthi fighting have arguably been the most significant Saudi military engagements since the tribal battles that Abdulaziz that fought to establish the Saudi kingdom. The Houthi battles will be intensively studied in the months ahead, including how they revealed Saudi military shortcomings. The Saudi military, particularly the Air Force, resorted to the use of enormous firepower (despite low munitions inventories) that proved to be inadequately precise and minimally effective against fighters maneuvering and dug into rugged mountain terrain. Among questions that merit attention will be to what extent should the Saudi military restructure itself to respond to such asymmetrical threats, why the Saudis responded to the Houthi challenge as such an urgent existential threat, and whether the perceived inability or unwillingness of the U.S. to more rapidly provide emergency munitions resupply to the Saudis in their perceived hour of need will ramifications for our military to military partnership. These and related issues will be the focus of forthcoming Embassy analyses. SMITH